Green Bay at Dallas

This is an NFC showdown between a pair of 3-1 teams. Green Bay has been much improved under the new coaching staff. The defense is #10 in yards allowed, seventh in points surrendered (17.3 per game), while QB Aaron Rodgers (six TDs, one INT) has only been sacked eight times in four games. They were a dog against Chicago and won straight-up and the offense has scored 27 points in each of the last two games. Green Bay is on an 18-7 run OVER the total on the road, plus 17-8 OVER after a spread loss. The Packers are also 59-38 ATS against teams that commit 60+ penalty yards per game. They face a Dallas squad that has had a soft schedule...until last week, losing 12-10 to the Saints and their backup quarterback. Dallas is 3-7 ATS at home against teams with a winning road record, as well as a 7-3 run OVER the total home. Green Bay has covered six of the last eight meetings and the OVER has cashed five straight when they meet in Dallas. Back the visitors with the big edge at QB in a high scoring indoor tilt. Play Green Bay and the OVER.