Green Bay at Chicago

The Green Bay Packers have won seven of their last eight games. But, this team has been a far cry from the 15-1 team from a year ago that recorded eight double-digit wins in the regular season. This year’s version has yet to record a single 20+ point blowout. On the road this season, this Packers team is very pedestrian having gone 3-3 and getting outscored in the process. The Bears were the 7-1 team through eight games, but the wheels have come off as they have dropped four of their last five. But outside of the San Francisco debacle, the Bears’ other three losses were all one-possession games. While the Packers have come out in front of their one-possession games, the Bears have not. The Bears have been a lot more efficient at home where they are 5-2. The two losses were not unreasonable: a 7-point loss to a 2-loss team and an overtime loss to Seattle. I don't see anything there that says they are not going to be competitive or win this game. Remember also that the San Francisco and Houston losses were without Jay Cutler. The Bears are holding opponents to jsut 14.6 points per game at home and, under Lovie Smith, this Bears team is 22-11 straight-up at home following a loss including 10-4 at home after back-to-back losses. This is a big revenge spot for Chicago as they were embarrassed by the Packers in week two. I like the Bears plus the points in this one.