This pick was released to clients on December 15, 2023 at 2:04PM ET.
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Green Bay at Carolina

December 17, 2017
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Green Bay has won two in a row to keep its playoff hopes alive and now they get QB Aaron Rodgers (13 TDs, three INTs) back. The Packers are 35-16-1 ATS after getting fewer than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. They've scored 28, 26 and 27 points the last three weeks, part of a 9-3 run OVER the total. Green Bay is also on a 20-6 run OVER as the offense leads the way, including 16-5 OVER the total on the road. Carolina's offense is clicking, but the defense has allowed 21, 27, 31 and 24 points the last four weeks, all going OVER. The Panthers are 18-7-1 OVER the total against winning teams. They put up 31 points in beating the Vikings last week, but the team is 6-13-1 ATS after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. When these NFC teams clash the underdog is 9-3-1 ATS and the games have sailed OVER the last six meetings, including a 37-29 game when they last met two years ago, also on this field. That was the Panthers' NFC championship season and their defense has regressed, losing key personnel since. In that meeting Rodgers threw for 369 yards and four TDs, while Cam Newton had 297 yards and three TDs. Play Green Bay and the OVER.

1 unit on Green Bay +3 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total OVER 47 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Green Bay Packers
7
7
3
7
24
Carolina Panthers img
7
3
14
7
31
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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