Detroit at St. Louis

Detroit comes off the gut-wrenching loss at home to Green Bay on the last play, blowing a 20-0 lead -- and any playoff hopes. The Lions are on a 5-11 spread run, 3-8 ATS on the road, along with a 6-2 run OVER the total with a suspect defense. Detroit is #28 in the NFL in points allowed at 26.3 points per game. St. Louis is off a pair of losses to two strong teams (Bengals, Cardinals), so playing the toothless Lions will be a reprieve. Coach Jeff Fisher fired offensive coordinator Frank Cignetti this week and replaced him with Rob Boras, who was a finalist for the job in the offseason. Expect the new Rams' offensive coordinator to go with an up-tempo game plan along with any trick plays to try and keep his new job -- or build a better resume for the offseason. The Rams are 6-0-1 ATS when following a double-digit loss at home. And the St. Louis defense is fine at #12 in points allowed and #11 against the pass with a fine young front line that can pressure the QB. When these teams clash the OVER is 4-1, so grab the home team to win the game in a battle with more points than oddsmakers anticipate. Take the St. Louis Rams on the moneyline and play the OVER.