Detroit at Philadelphia

This is a big game for both of these clubs as the winner will come out at 8-5 and will be set up nicely for the playoffs. The loser just becomes another of many teams looking for help. The Lions have to feel good about finally getting a win on Thanksgiving. They beat a fading Green Bay team 40-10, and did not have to exert much energy and should be well rested and well prepare here. Philadelphia has now won four straight games, and it hasn't been the offense leading the way - it has been the defense. The Eagles have allowed just 17.5 points per game in their last four games. The offense is producing points, but at a much slower rate than the team that scored 30+ in four of their first six games. Since game six, this team has done so just once. The Eagles have become pretty good defensively, and the Lions have shown that they can play that kind of game as well, so I think the total is overdone here. The Lions have carried momentum forward after totaling 350 or more yards in their previous game, as they are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 after having done so. The Eagles have been the worst home team in the NFL at 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 including 0-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning road record. THe Lions are also 4-1 to the UNDER in their last five after scoring 30 or more in their previous game, while the Eagles are 5-0 to the UNDER in their last five at home. The location of this game is key for the total as Detroit's road games have averaged 44.6 points per game while Eagles home games have averaged just 38.6 per game - yet the total is set at 53.5?!? Take both Detroit and the UNDER in this one.