This pick was released to clients on August 18, 2023 at 11:39AM ET.
img NFL

Detroit at Indianapolis

August 20, 2022
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Detroit has lost all four preseason games under coach Dan Campbell and the Lions have made it known that they're not concerned about winning in the preseason. The Lions come off a 27-23 loss to Atlanta in familiar fashion as rookie Desmond Ridder threw a go-ahead 21-yard touchdown pass on fourth-and-9 with 1:30 left in the game. Detroit backup QB David Blough lost a fumble at his 33 with two minutes left. Jared Goff insisted on playing and completed 3 of 4 passes for 47 yards, but he isn't expected to play much in this game. Indianapolis lost to Buffalo 27-24 when Tyler Bass kicked a 46-yard field goal as time expired and the Colts blew a 14-point lead in the final quarter. Matt Ryan was 6 of 10 passing for 58 yards in his debut for the Colts, who got a good performance from Sam Ehlinger, who completed 10 of 11 passes for 89 yards and two TDs and ran for 24 yards. Nick Foles went 7-for-11 for 72 yards so the Colts currently have plenty of depth at quarterback. Indianapolis coach Frank Reich is 6-4-2 ATS in the preseason and Campbell is 1-3 ATS. The Colts are 8-0-2 ATS their past 10 preseason games as underdogs and they have gone UNDER in Week Two the last three years, including a 12-10 win over the Minnesota that went UNDER by 15 points last year. Detroit's backup QBs, Blough and Tim Boyle, are not much of a threat and the Colts' defense wants to redeem itself after blowing a big lead. Take the Colts ATS as a Max Play and the UNDER.

2 units on Indianapolis +3 (-109) (risk 2 to return 3.83)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 39.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Detroit Lions img
3
10
7
7
27
Indianapolis Colts
3
10
7
6
26
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free NFL picks and predictions.

Join 408,748 Subscribers!