Detroit at Houston

The Detroit Lions have the sixth best record in the NFL since November 1 of last year at 10-5. Can you believe that? They are one of two NFL teams that have not lost a game over that 15-game period by more than one possession. The fact is that the Lions have either won or been in every game they have played for the last year, and have a lot of hidden value. The Texans held five of their last nine opponents last year to six or fewer points, and their last five opponents this season have averaged 25.6 points per game. Do you think they miss J.J. Watt? It is pretty obvious that he was the glue to the defense, which has become unglued. The bigger problem is their -6 turnover margin, and the fact they have not thrown for over 256 yards in any of their six games. Brock Osweiller has been brutal with eight INTs and a 71 passer rating, while Matthew Stafford carries a 105.7 passer rating into this game along with 15 TDs and four INTs on the season. Detroit has been a team plagued by turnovers over the past several seasons, but just five on the season this year, and it is showing up in the win column. Make the play on Detroit.