Detroit at Green Bay

The Detroit Lions finally broke through last year and ended a 23-game losing streak playing against the Packers on the road. Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense has been so good for so long, it is expected they play high-scoring games. The Pack put up a stunning 38.2 points per game at home in 2014, but without Jordy Nelson, those numbers eroded to 23.2 ppg. Unless you're telling me that Jordy Nelson is worth 15 ppg, then something else is wrong. What's wrong is Aaron Rodgers has suddenly lost his mojo. Last year, it wasn't just Nelson being out, he so many times missed passes you're used to seeing him convert with his eyes closed. This year, it has been worse. The 6.1 yards per attempt last season is down to 5.4 yards per attempt, Nelson included. Sunday night he over threw at least three times, and on a little dink pass to Lacey, he threw it into the ground. No one is saying anything, because he is Aaron Rodgers, but is he the same high-level player anymore? The last 18 games say he is not. Green Bay was 19-2 straight-up at Lambeau in division games in seven years, prior to last year, when they did not win a division game at home last year! Detroit has the monkey off their back, and the Packers are simply not a good team right now, but every one thinks they are, so the line is way too high. Take Detroit.