Denver at Tennessee

The Tennessee Titans have a major weapon in Chris Johnson. But their offense is more than that. Vince Young has become more than a serviceable QB, entering this game with a 96.9 passer rating, placing him No. 8 amongst all NFL QBs. The Titans come into this contest averaging 26 points per game despite being shutdown by the Steelers. Denver started last year with a defensive blaze, allowing their first five opponents to score a combined 43 points or 8.6 per game. They have since revealed their true colors as they have allowed 24.7 ppg in their last 14 games, including the three games this season. The offense has been pretty decent producing 21.4 ppg in their last nine. Kyle Orton is still viewed for some reason as a below-average quarterback but the truth is he has been extremely productive, throwing for more yards this season than any other QB other than Phillip Rivers. Denver has now become an OVER bettor's dream team with seven of their last eight topping the total. They have topped the total to a 20-6-2 mark following a loss. They are also 36-16-2 to the OVER after allowing 250+ passing yards in their last game. Tennessee moves the chains vs. losing teams where they are 5-1 to the OVER in their last six. They are also 8-1 OVER the past three seasons at home after allowing 14 points or less. The last meeting between these clubs produced 54 points, and I look for something close to that here.