Denver at Los Angeles

I can't see the anemic Denver offense doing much in this tough road game. Denver is a run-oriented squad averaging 22.8 points to rank #19 in the league in scoring. QB Case Keenum has 11 TDs, 10 picks and they just traded away WR Demaryius Thomas. The Broncos are on a 5-15-1 ATS run, 7-18-1 ATS against the AFC, as well as a 3-11 ATS run on the road. They try to hang in with defense, on a 6-2 run UNDER the total, but have no offensive punch in losing six of the last seven. They don't match up well with a 7-2 LA Chargers squad that has been impressive all around. Los Angeles is eighth in total offense behind QB Philip Rivers (21 TDs, four INTs), while the defense has been great allowing 10, 14, 19, 17 and six points the last five contests. The Chargers have covered five of six against losing teams and are 13-4 UNDER the total against the AFC, as well as 34-16-1 UNDER following a straight-up win. Play the Chargers and the UNDER.