Denver is a defensive-oriented team under former DC Vic Fangio. They are on a 37-18-1 run UNDER the total, including 36-15-1 UNDER versus the AFC. They come off a pair of losses to the Bengals and Raiders by scores of 15-10 and 17-13 (12-3 UNDER this season). QB Teddy Bridgewater is out with a concussion, so backup QB Drew Lock (one TD, two INTs) will start. Denver's defense is No. 1 in the NFL in points allowed (17.3 per game) and sixth in yards allowed. The Broncos are 19-7-1 UNDER the total against winning teams and 19-7-1 in divisional games. The Los Angeles defense gets pass rusher Joey Bosa and defensive back Trey Marshall back for this one. These teams played a 28-13 game in Week 12, a Denver win, as Chargers' QB Justin Herbert threw two picks and was sacked three times. The Broncos ran for 147 yards against a soft Los Angeles run defense that is currently #28 in run 'D' and last in the league on third down. The UNDER has cashed in six of the last eight meetings, including 10-1 UNDER when the Broncos are at the Chargers. Back the UNDER in this one.
This pick was released to clients on December 29, 2023 at 10:25AM ET.
NFL
Denver at Los Angeles
January 2, 2022
4:05 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 46.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING
Get my free NFL picks and predictions.
Join 409,388 Subscribers!