Denver at Los Angeles

The Denver Broncos remain my top-ranked defense. Their 285.8 yards allowed per game remains first in the NFL, and they are the only team allowing fewer than 300 yards per game. It has been their saving grace as their offense is not the same as it has been the last few years under Peyton Manning. Manning will once again miss, which should put additional focus on the defense, as they feel it is going to up to them to decide the game. Brock Osweiler has looked very good but make no mistake - with more film, defenses will find ways to force him into some costly mistakes moving forward. San Diego was doing a lot of gaining between the 20s, and simply not getting the points they should have with the yards they were gaining. The last three weeks Phillip Rivers has failed to top the 300-yard mark, and it has shown, with the Chargers averaging 17.7 points per game. They have fallen short of their season yard average in all three games. Last year Denver went for 31 points or more eight times and this year they have not topped 31 the entire season. In fact they have been in the teens four times. Denver is now 9-4-1 to the UNDER in their last 14 on grass, while San Diego is 7-1 to the UNDER in their last eight at home vs. a team with a winning road record. This one says UNDER.