Denver at Las Vegas

Denver is favored but has a losing road record with a bad offense at #19 in total yards and #22 in scoring (21.9 per game). The Broncos have lost two in a row, both as a favorite, and are not in contention for a postseason spot. The Broncos are on an 8-17-1 spread run, 4-10 ATS against losing teams, and is 6-15-1 ATS on natural grass. QB Case Keenum (15 TDs, 12 INTs) has been sacked 32 times and is off a 17-16 home loss to Cleveland while throwing a pair of picks with no touchdowns. He is working with a patchwork receiving corps that has three rookies playing prominent roles. The team has scored a total of 30 points in losses to the 49ers and Browns the last two weeks, a pair of sub-.500 teams. Meanwhile, Oakland is playing its final home game of the season and likely the last game in Oakland. The Raiders have wild fans who will be up for this one. In their last home game they were a +10 dog and beat the Steelers, 24-21. The home team has covered four of the last five meetings, and Oakland has the better QB in Derek Carr (19 TDs, 8 INTs). So back the home dog in a close one. Play Oakland.