Denver at Kansas City

Denver is a dog, but the defending champs are still loaded with talent, along with a winning road record. The Broncos rank second in the NFL in yards allowed, tops against the pass, and fourth in points allowed. Denver is off a tough loss at home, holding Tom Brady and the Patriots to 16 points, and the team is 15-6 ATS following a straight up loss. Kansas City has battled injuries much of the year and ranks #28 defensively in yards allowed, #19 against the pass, and #28 against the run. This is not an explosive offense as Andy Reid likes a conservative, ball control attack. The Chiefs are #23 in total yards. It's tough to back Reid in the role of favorite as he doesn't run up the score. That cost them last week in a 19-17 home loss to Tennessee as six-point chalk, part of a 2-8 ATS run at home. The dog has covered five straight in this series, with the first meeting going to overtime, and Denver has covered six of the last seven at Kansas City. Play Denver.