Many pundits in August were touting this as the year of the Jaguars and projected this team into the playoffs. They are in the weakest division in the NFL and will carry a woeful 2-9 record into this contest. So what has gone wrong? The first place to look, and an area the Jags thought they had covered is at QB. Blake Bortles has now started 41 games and is 10-31, averaging just 19.8 points per game. That drops to 16.4 points per game vs. an above average defense, where his passer rating is an ugly 70.1. He has thrown 13 INTs on the season. The Jags defense has been very good allowing just 5.2 yards a play vs. teams that generate 5.7. Denver has offensive issues of their own, and now Trevor Siemian is out with a foot injury. They will have to rely on one of the best defenses in the NFL to do so. So in a nutshell, we have a Denver offense, with a back up quarterback, and a Jacksonville offense that struggles vs. even a pedestrian defense, but going against an elite one here. Make the play on the UNDER.
This pick was released to clients on December 01, 2016 at 7:44AM ET.
NFL
Denver at Jacksonville
December 4, 2016
1:00 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 40 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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