Denver at Houston

What do you think the odds would have been at the beginning of the season on Houston earning the #1 pick in next year's draft? How about after they started 2-0? The are big problems here for the Texans as they have lost 12 straight games, and while they have a defense that is still ranked #4 in the league in fewest yards allowed, they have an offense that has given up more scores than any team in the league. Add in the big plays they give up, and special teams flaws, and while they rank #4 in fewest yards allowed, the Texans rank #25 in points allowed at 26.8 points per game. Points is what matters. Denver is all offense. It doesn't seem to matter what the defense is doing, they simply get their points, and plenty of them at 38.2 ppg. There is a problem for Denver however; They allow 26.6 ppg themselves, and their games have subsequently played to am 11-3 mark to the OVER this season and 23-15 OVER under John Fox. I don't see anything different here. Following a loss, the Broncos are now 39-12-2 to the OVER in their last 53. In the Fox era, this team is 11-3 OVER after and UNDER. This one is going to be a shootout, so play on the OVER.