This pick was released to clients on August 10, 2012 at 1:42AM ET.
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Denver at Baltimore

September 30, 2002
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Here we have a classic match-up of overrated versus underrated. The Broncos appear to be headed to the SuperBowl, right? The Ravens are dead in the water, right? Baltimore's SuperBowl team has been dismantled and everyone is waiting for them to go down hard. On top of that, they got blown-out and shut out by TB in their last game. So, we have the perfect set-up for a blow-out by Denver, right? Not so fast. The Broncos are 3-0 but their opponents sport a terrible 3-6 record. Is Griese for real? Only time will tell, but don't forget he was one missed field goal (by Jeff Wilkens) away from being benched in week 1 and his ego is very fragile right now. Some bashin' by Ray Lewis could easily knock any remaining confidence right out of him. You read it here first - there will be a QB controversy in Denver after this Monday. Baltimore, on the other hand is 0-2 and everyone's favorite whipping boy. But their opponents sport a record of 5-1. Winless underdogs after a bye (extra week of preparation, focus and humiliation) are a staggering good play (83% ATS). Baltimore's back is against the wall and their manhood is on the line. Go with Baltimore and the upset!

4 units on Baltimore +7 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
WIN
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