img NFL

Denver at Baltimore

November 1, 2009
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Wrong team favored. I was on Denver three weeks ago and faded them two weeks ago. I should have stayed on them. They have now officially proven they are for real. What else could be asked of this team? They have amassed a perfect record while holding opponents to 11 points per game. At first their schedule was questionable but their last three wins have come against Dallas, New England and San Diego. Yet, they are still an underdog. Probably the biggest irony of this entire game has to do with the defenses. The Ravens have the reputation for awesome defense, but it's the Broncos who have earned that reputatation this season. With the departure of Rex Ryan, the Ravens defense has been average, allowing 333 yards and 22 points per game. They've been torched for 24+ points in four of their six games this season and they are ranked in the bottom half of the NFL in defense. Baltimore has put up just two good defensive performances, those coming against Cincinnati and lowly Cleveland. The Broncos may in fact be the only 6-0 team in NFL history that hasn't been more than a three-point favorite in any game. They are a dog for the fifth time in seven games. With this line, you would think that they were playing the Patriots or Saints here, not a team that has lost three games in a row. It is the offense that has carried the Ravens. The offense has been good, but they have spent the bulk of their schedule feasting on weak defenses. In five of their six games, the Ravens have gone against defenses that rank No. 17, 18, 20, No. 29 and No. 32. That is five of six games vs. defenses that are in the bottom half of the league. They certainly won't have their way with the Broncos defense, and that means the aging Ravens defense will be on the field more. Denver can do enough offensively to take control of this game. The Ravens have not stood up to teams with a winning road record as they are just 1-4 ATS in their last five. I'm riding the Broncos in this one as they

4 units on Denver +5 (-110) (risk 4 to return 4)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Denver Broncos
0
0
7
0
7
Baltimore Ravens img
3
3
10
14
30
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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