Dallas at Tampa Bay

Dallas is glad to have 2020 behind them when injuries decimated their key players, including much of what is a very good offensive line. QB Dak Prescott is notably healthy for this game, but the O-line is already dealing with a couple of Covid-related issues through preseason that I'll be keeping an eye on. The Dallas 'D' made important changes, dumping their old system and defensive coordinator. New DC, Dan Quinn, brings in a hybrid 4-3/Tampa Cover-2 scheme, which far better suits the personnel. They also added No. 10 overall pick LB Micah Parsons and CB Kelvin Joseph (second round) while signing hard-hitting free agent safety Keanu Neal. QB Prescott has excellent weapons around him and was off to a terrific start last year before his injury, throwing for 1,856 yards and 9 TDs in just over four games. The Cowboys averaged 32.6 points in the five games Prescott played. This is Week 1, where defenses are often ahead of the offenses, and the matchups suggest a game decided by a field goal. Dallas coach Mike McCarthy is 95-66 ATS on grass fields, so back the talented big dog to keep it close all the way. Take the points and make the play Dallas.