Dallas at Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay got into the playoffs with an 8-9 record thanks to the weak NFC South and the Buccaneers are 4-12-1 ATS and 11-6 UNDER this season. Tom Brady had another prolific year statwise throwing for 4,694 yards and 25 touchdowns and broke the NFL record for completions with 490. However, the offense as a whole struggled through most of the season and was #25 with 18.4 points per game and dead last in rushing. Dallas was #12 in total yards allowed and #5 in scoring defense with 20.1 points per contest. The teams met in September and the Bucs won 19-3 and it went UNDER by 27.5 points. The Cowboys stayed UNDER by nine points last week in their 26-6 loss at Washington and they replaced most of their starters in the fourth quarter. Dak Prescott threw for only 128 yards and a TD and has made some bad decisions his last few games. However, Prescott still is capable of putting up the kind of numbers he had versus Philadelphia on Christmas Eve when he completed 27 of 35 for 347 yards and three TDs with one pick. The Cowboys are 10-1 ATS following a loss and 19-6-1 ATS their past 26 games after losing by at least two touchdowns. Dallas is 9-4-1 UNDER its past 14 road games and Tampa Bay is 0-7-1 ATS after a loss and 15-5 UNDER against NFC teams dating to last season. Also, the Buccaneers are 12-3 UNDER following a loss. Take the Cowboys as a Max Play and the UNDER.