Dallas at Philadelphia

There won't be a bigger game this season between a pair of .500 teams. You can blame it on the way the NFC East has set up this season, as this game becomes huge for both teams. The winner of this one will emerge as the leader after seven weeks. This is a game between a pair of teams that have not been so good at stopping the pass. I think most everyone, including the oddsmakers, think this is going to be an aerial shootout. I think they are both going to try and run the ball to limit their exposure on defense. Philadelphia is playing once again without Michael Vick at QB, while Dallas is going to likely be without DeMarco Murray. Tono Romo is finally living up to his billing having thrown 14 TDs this season to just three INTs. Philadelphia is going to likely have to play without OT Jason Peters and that will be problematic, and I think the injuries for both teams' offenses will have an impact. While the Eagles are racking up tons of yards, they aren't translating as they should be into points. The Eagles are getting just 6.2 points per 100 yards gained. Compare that to Dallas' 8.7. The Eagles are home, but that has not been a good thing for them as they are 6-21-1 ATS here in their last 28 including 0-9 the past two seasons. And, since the 2010 season, the underdog in Cowboys games is 36-16-1 ATS (69%)! Dallas has played 10 of their last 13 on the road to the UNDER. And, in road games with a total set at 46 or more, Dallas is 8-1 to the UNDER the past three seasons. After scoring 30+ in previous last game, the Eagles have followed by going 27-12 to the UNDER. Take Dallas (buy 1/2 point to +3) and play the UNDER.