Dallas at New York

The NY Jets will finally get Sam Darnold back at QB. While Darnold still has a way to go, he is certainly a major upgrade to what the Jets have been wheeling out there in his absence. The default here is 0-4 teams are often a long way from the bettor's minds except to play against them, and the oddsmakers often sense that and overload the favorite. The result is 0-4 teams cover 55.2% of the time on the blind. Dallas looked like the team to beat until they dropped two straight games to fall to 3-2 on the season. Dak Prescott threw just nine INTs all of last season but has six through just five games this season and has been making bad decisions when under pressure. The Jets are an ugly choice here but history has left behind many football games that say ugly is good in the NFL if you are a bettor. Grab the points on New York.