Dallas at New York

Dallas has clinched the NFC East title and is locked in as the fourth seed. The Giants were eliminated long ago and shouldn't be favored by nearly a touchdown against anyone. The Cowboys have indicated that they can't take a week off, especially since they haven't been overwhelming opponents the second half of the season. It's been the defense that's been the difference and it ranks sixth in the NFL in total yards allowed while yielding an average of only 19.3 points per game. Compare that to New York, which is #22 in yards allowed while giving up an average of 25.1 points. Dallas has won and covered the last three meetings, including 20-13 on Sept. 16 and the game went UNDER by nine points for the fifth UNDER in a row when these teams meet. Also, the Cowboys have stayed UNDER their last two games against Indianapolis and Tampa Bay. Dak Prescott went 20-of-25 for for 161 yards and no interceptions against the Buccaneers and Ezekiel Elliott rushed for 85 yards on 18 carries. The Giants blew a 14-0 lead and lost in the final minute at Indianapolis after getting shut out 17-0 by Tennessee the week before.  The Cowboys have covered seven of their last eight games versus the NFC East and five of their last seven overall. New York is 1-5-1 ATS its last seven home contests and 3-12-1 ATS its last 16 games after an ATS win. The Giants have gone UNDER 13 of their last 19 home games and Dallas is 17-7 UNDER its last 24 games overall and the Cowboys are 11-2 UNDER their last 13 following a win. Take the Cowboys and UNDER.