Dallas allows only 18.9 points per game compared to 21.0 for Miami and it appears to be an inflated total for this matchup. The Cowboys have stayed UNDER their past two games against Philadelphia and Buffalo and the offense was limited to just a field goal for the first 57 minutes against the Bills. Dallas averages 21.7 points on the road and Dak Prescott threw for only 134 yards with an interception last week and the Cowboys were outgained 351-195. Miami went UNDER by 6.5 points in its 30-0 whitewashing of the New York Jets, who had an incredibly low 103 net yards of offense. Dallas is 6-1 UNDER after allowing more than 30 points its previous game and 7-1 UNDER after totaling fewer than 90 yards rushing. Dallas is 8-3 UNDER its past 11 road games and 19-7-1 UNDER as a road underdog of 0.3-3.0 points. Miami is 6-2 UNDER as a favorite of 0.5-3.0 points. Play the UNDER as a Max Play.
This pick was released to clients on December 22, 2023 at 12:51PM ET.
NFL
Dallas at Miami
December 24, 2023
4:25 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total UNDER 50.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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