This pick was released to clients on July 11, 2012 at 12:57PM ET.
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Dallas at Las Vegas

August 21, 2004
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This line is slow artificially low we can step over it. Sure, Dallas was shut out last week. But, Bill Parcells will not let that happen again. I expect the Dallas offense to be pretty productive this week if for no other reason to avoid the wrath of their head coach. Road teams scoring less than a touchdown in the preseason bounce back the following week to go over the total an incredible 78% of the time! Oakland put up 33 points with ease last week. Let us not forget what new head coach Norv Turner is known for - OFFENSE! I have another preseason trend that applies to this game that is 13-1 OVER since 1990. Last year it correctly predicted the Over in the week three matchup between Chicago and Arizona (44 points scored in a game with an O/U of 32). Usually there is one play per season with this trend and we get it here! Expect 40 points to easily be reached in this game. Normally I'd make this a premium play but giving out free today. Two units on the Over.

4 units on Game Total OVER 35 -110 (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
WIN
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