Dallas at Green Bay

Going all the way back to the 60's and the Ice Bowl, this has been a heated rivalry as these teams often met in the playoffs. Dallas has had the upper hand of late, but most of those were played in Dallas. This one is in Green Bay and it means a lot to Green Bay. At 4-4, a win vs. a loss here means a ton to them. The Packers lost in Tampa as a double-digit favorite last week, and teams that do that often come back with a vengeance the following week. The Packers are mostly considered to be an offensive team, but even after the 38-point debacle last week vs. Tampa, the Packers bring the No. 4 ranked defense (283 yards per game) back home to Lambeau Field. Dallas has run the ball very well, but they will be facing a Packer stop-unit that is ranked No. 2 in rushing yards allowed per carry at a stingy 3.47 per carry. The Cowboys’ offense which has scored over 30 points per game four times already has been stopped by good defenses, with the exception of the Giants which who proven that they haven't been as good defensively as their numbers indicate. Da Boys were held to 10 points at Denver, 21 vs. Carolina and 20 at Philadelphia - all teams that rank in the top 10. The Packers’ offense, meanwhile, has been consistent all season long as they have scored 21 or more in all eight of their games. With Dallas reeling off four straight wins, scoring in the stratosphere, America's Team is again getting the action and is facing an inflated line here. The Packers are home, need this game more, have a better defense, and an offense that has been consistent all season. I really like Green Bay here. I also like the UNDER. As mentioned, Green Bay's defense is much better than most think, ranked fourth in the league in yards allowed. And, Dallas has not scored a lot vs. good defenses, putting up an average of only 17 per game vs. Top 10 defenses. This will be an intense game given the rivarly and the importance and I think it goes UNDER.