Dallas at Cleveland

Dallas, as usual, has plenty of talent and appears to be a championship contender, but will the Cowboys finally break through and go deep in the playoffs? Dak Prescott had another stellar regular season, throwing for 4.516 yards and 36 touchdowns, but fizzled in the postseason as Green Bay trounced the Cowboys. The Cowboys have covered four of their past five September games, and they are 9-2 ATS against AFC North squads. Cleveland, incredibly, is 2-16-1 straight up its past 19 Week 1 games, although it did get a 24-3 win over Cincinnati in the 2023 opener. Deshaun Watson will have a new offensive coordinator in Ken Dorsey, but Watson has not shown much since coming over to the Browns and keeps getting injured. Cleveland started five different quarterbacks in 2023 and had to depend on Joe Flacco to get into the postseason when the Browns were routed 45-14 by Houston. Dallas has gone UNDER nine of its past 13 road games and five of six overall against AFC opponents. Cleveland is 12-5 UNDER versus NFC teams. The Browns hired Ken Dorsey to run the offense, but he was fired by the Buffalo Bills as the offensive coordinator last season due to their struggling offense. Both teams are looking to stabilize their running games, and that will use a lot of clock. They were two of the top defensive teams in 2023. Take the Cowboys and the UNDER.