This pick was released to clients on September 18, 2023 at 12:11PM ET.
img NFL

Cleveland at Pittsburgh

September 18, 2023
img8:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Pittsburgh has won 23 of 25 home games against the Browns and the Steelers are a slight underdog in this matchup and Mike Tomlin is 49-29 ATS in his career when getting points. Cleveland's victory over Cincinnati doesn't look as impressive as the Bengals lost again in Week 2 and Joe Burrow still hasn't recovered from a calf injury as his team didn't record a first down until 10 minutes into the second quarter against Baltimore. Deshaun Watson was 16 of 29 for 154 yards with an interception and Cleveland ran the ball 40 times for 206 yards. The Browns lost offensive tackle Jack Conklin (knee) for the season and wide receiver Amari Cooper is questionable with a groin injury. The Steelers are 8-3 ATS after losing by double digits at home and 20-6-3 ATS as home dogs. The Browns are 3-13 ATS following a win of more than 14 points and they are 7-1 UNDER their past seven games overall and 6-0 UNDER as road favorites. Pittsburgh is 6-1 UNDER its past seven September games and 11-5 UNDER following an ATS loss. Play the Steelers and the UNDER as a Max Play.

1 unit on Pittsburgh +2.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Game Total UNDER 39 -115 (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Cleveland Browns
3
11
8
0
22
Pittsburgh Steelers img
7
9
3
7
26
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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