This pick was released to clients on January 08, 2021 at 2:57PM ET.
img NFL

Cleveland at Pittsburgh

January 10, 2021
img8:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Cleveland was fortunate to win on Sunday even with the Steelers resting several players and Mason Rudolph replacing Ben Roethlisberger in a game Pittsburgh didn't need. Now the Browns have to go to Heinz Field where they lost 38-7 on October 18. With the Steelers in a quick revenge situation and going all out in a playoff game, I'm expecting a much different result. Roethlisberger has won two Super Bowls and has plenty of playoff experience, while Cleveland QB Baker Mayfield will be making his postseason debut on the road. The Browns almost blew a 15-point lead in the regular season finale, but were able to stop the Steelers on a two-point try to seal the win. Cleveland is 19-41-1 ATS its last 61 games as an underdog and 3-8 ATS its last 11 games overall. Also, the Browns are 3-11 ATS their last 14 road games and 9-25-1 ATS versus AFC North teams. Cleveland did make the playoffs for the first time since 2002, but most of their wins came against some of the worst teams in the league. The UNDER is 39-19-2 in the Steelers' last 60 games after an ATS win and they have stayed UNDER 10 of their last 14 following a loss. Take the Steelers to cover and the UNDER.

1 unit on Pittsburgh -6 (-102) (risk 1 to return 1.98)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 47.5 -103 (risk 1.5 to return 2.96)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Cleveland Browns img
28
7
0
13
48
Pittsburgh Steelers
0
10
13
14
37
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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