Cleveland at Minnesota

Cleveland has balance on offense. They are second in the NFL in rushing, though QB Baker Mayfield (2 TDs, 2 INTs) hasn't had a great start. The Browns are 16-38-1 ATS after getting 350+ total yards in the last game, 1-7 ATS as a road favorite, and 2-9 ATS after allowing 15 points or less. The offense is seventh in total yards and Top 10 in points (28.7 per game). Cleveland is 15-5-1 OVER the total after getting 350+ total yards in the last game. Minnesota is a home dog, but they are well-coached and playing very well despite a 1-2 start. They lost at Cincinnati (27-24) in Week 1, lost by a point at Arizona (34-33), then won at Seattle, 30-17, as an underdog. QB Kirk Cousins (8 TDs, no picks) has been outstanding leading an offense that is also Top 10 in points (29 per game) and third in total yards with great balance (297 yards passing, 128 rushing per contest). The Vikings are on a 36-22 ATS run at home, 37-19 ATS as a home dog, and 19-10 ATS in non-conference tilts. Minnesota is also 39-20 OVER the total against teams that average 7.5 or more passing yards per attempt, so back the underrated home dog in a high-scoring affair. Play Minnesota and OVER the total.