Cleveland at Miami

Cleveland heads out on the road struggling on offense, averaging just 15 points per game. WR Corey Coleman, the Browns' rookie wide receiver and first-round draft pick, fractured his hand in practice on Wednesday. They are down to their third-string QB in rookie Cody Kessler, so look for a heavy dose of runs and short passes to control the ball and the clock. RB Isaiah Crowell had 133 yards (7.4 yards per carry) against Baltimore last Sunday as the team ran for 145 yards (6.3 ypc) behind this very strong offensive line. In Week 1 they ran for 120 yards (5.7 ypc) against the Eagles. RB Crowell quietly has 195 yards for a stellar 6.5 yards per carry. That will work against a Miami defense that has a lot of holes. The secondary is terrible and the linebackers are bad in pass coverage. Cleveland's defense is decent up front, stuffing the Ravens last week where they allowed 80 yards rushing, just 3.1 ypc, and they held Philadelphia to 3.9 ypc. Cleveland is also 31-15-1 UNDER the total against a team with a losing record. Miami is home from a brutal two-game trip, playing the physical Seahawks and Patriots. They are a worn out group already from the long trips and punishing contests. Miami's offense has been awful in six of eight quarters, only racking up a ton of yards and points in the second half last week after trailing 31-3. They are #25 in the NFL in total yards, #27 in points. The Dolphins are on a 2-9 ATS run at home, plus 13-41-1 ATS at home against a team with a losing road record. With the Browns 18-7-1 ATS away vs. a team with a losing home record, grab the big dog in a defensive duel. Play Cleveland and the UNDER.