This pick was released to clients on January 13, 2021 at 4:54PM ET.
img NFL

Cleveland at Kansas City

January 17, 2021
img3:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Kansas City has been playing with fire all season, even with a 14-2 record as the Chiefs are just 7-9 ATS, including 1-7 ATS their last eight games. Now they face a sky-high and confident team in the Cleveland Browns, who embarrassed their long time nemesis, Pittsburgh Steelers, on Sunday, even with a makeshift offensive line and without their head coach. Kevin Stefanski plans on being back on the sideline to lead his team this week, and cornerback Denzel Ward is off the COVID protocol also. The Browns have won seven of their last nine games, and Baker Mayfield had no trouble in his first playoff game throwing for 263 yards and three touchdowns. Pat Mahomes has not played since Dec. 27 as he sat out the season finale, and the Chiefs have become mostly one-dimensional since running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire went out with an ankle injury. He returned to practice this week, but a high-ankle sprain is tough to predict. The Chiefs have not covered their last four home games, and their widest margin of victory their last eight games was six points. Cleveland is a live dog in this matchup. Play Cleveland ATS as a Max Play and also on the moneyline for a half-unit.

2 units on Cleveland +10 (-114) (risk 2 to return 3.75)
Result:
WIN
0.5 unit on Cleveland +410 (moneyline) (risk 0.5 to return 2.55)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Cleveland Browns
3
0
7
7
17
Kansas City Chiefs img
6
13
3
0
22
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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