This pick was released to clients on October 20, 2023 at 9:26AM ET.
img NFL

Cleveland at Indianapolis

October 22, 2023
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

A bad matchup for the home team. Cleveland's defense is No. 1 in the NFL in yards allowed, fifth in points given up (15.4 per game), and No. 1 on third down (23.08%). They just ended San Francisco's 15-game regular-season winning streak, 19-17. NFL road teams like the Browns that force one or fewer turnovers per game are 58-27 ATS after back-to-back contests with a turnover margin of minus-one or worse when the betting line is +3 to -3. Indianapolis limps home from a 37-20 loss at Jacksonville. They've lost QB Anthony Richardson for the season, so backup QB Gardner Minshew (3 TDs, 3 INTs) is running the offense. The Colts defense is 25th in yards allowed and 23rd in points given up (25.3 per game). Play Cleveland. 

1 unit on Cleveland -3 (-103) (risk 1 to return 1.97)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Cleveland Browns img
7
20
3
9
39
Indianapolis Colts
14
7
7
10
38
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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