Cleveland at Houston

Cleveland's defense may be No. 1 in the NFL in yards allowed, but not on the road. All eight of their road games went OVER the total as the defense allowed an average of 28.25 points. Cleveland is on a 9-2 run OVER the total overall. Houston's defense was 14th in yards allowed, while the offense was 12th in total yards, including seventh in passing behind QB C.J. Stroud (23 TDs, 5 INTs). Houston is 29-15 OVER the total at home after playing two consecutive games that went UNDER. These teams met last year in a 36-22 final that sailed OVER by 17 points and this looks like another one with more offense than defense. Take Cleveland/Houston OVER the total.