Cleveland has a new coach, Mike Pettine, and first-year coaches often want to impress, even in preseason. He also has a tremendous defense, #8 in the NFL against the pass last year and #18 against the run. And on offense, the QB rotation is impressive with Brian Hoyer listed as the No. 1 quarterback, followed by Johnny Manziel, veteran Tyler Thigpen, and rookie Connor Shaw. This defense was outstanding in preseason last year as the team went 3-1 SU/ATS allowing 19, six, and 16 points in the wins (17 points per game overall). One of those wins was over this Detroit team 24-6, with an edge in yards 313-217. Most of the Cleveland passes were thrown by Brandon Weeden and Jason Campbell, both gone, so the QB situation is much better this season. The Lions also have a new coach in mild-mannered Jim Caldwell. He's a disciple of Tony Dungy, who never cared about preseason. And note that Caldwell is 4-8 ATS in August as a head coach. The Lions have some defensive injury concerns with CB Darius Slay and DE Ziggy Ansah out. Cleveland is 4-0 ATS the last four years in week one of the preseason, so grab the improved dog and play the Browns.
This pick was released to clients on August 05, 2014 at 12:41PM ET.
NFL
Cleveland at Detroit
August 9, 2014
7:30 PM Eastern
1 unit on Cleveland +2.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
WIN
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING
Get my free NFL picks and predictions.
Join 409,392 Subscribers!