Cleveland at Denver

Cleveland holds the big defensive edge in this matchup as it allows 18.0 points per game compared to 26.8 for the Broncos and both teams score about the same, that is 22.7 for Cleveland and 21.7 for Denver. The Browns went with rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson against Pittsburgh and he did enough to get them the victory and threw for 165 yards. The Browns had gone OVER three of four before running into the stout Steeler defense. Cleveland is 7-3 straight up and ATS and the Broncos are 3-6-1 ATS and missed a two-point conversion that would have given them the cover in their 21-20 win over Minnesota on Sunday night. Denver has won its past two games against Buffalo and the Vikings by smoke and mirrors and now it faces a hot Cleveland team that has covered four straight. The Browns have gone OVER their past five road games and they are 6-2 OVER as road underdogs of 0.3-3.0 points. The Broncos are 7-19-1 ATS as home favorites and 3-10 ATS overall followimg a win. Take the Browns and the OVER.