Cleveland at Denver

Sean Payton has Denver on the right track, and the Broncos have been getting the money this season, covering nine of 12 games, including the past two against Atlanta and Las Vegas. The Broncos won those games by a combined 67-25 score and covered the spread in both games. Bo Nix is turning out to be a smart draft pick, and he threw for 273 yards and two TDs against the Raiders. Nix hasn't thrown an interception in his past three games. The Broncos defense yielded just 69 rushing yards against Las Vegas and it is #3 in the NFL in total yards allowed, #6 in rush defense. Denver has covered six straight as a favorite, and Cleveland is 0-5 ATS following an ATS win. The Browns have lost six of seven on the road, and they are 4-9 ATS in their past 13 games. Cleveland is #29 in total yards, averaging just 88.2 rushing yards per game. Only the New York Giants score fewer points per game than the Browns' 16.9. Denver has gone OVER six of its past eight games and four of five against AFC opponents. Cleveland is 10-5 OVER versus AFC teams, and the Browns have gone OVER four of their past five December games. They held Pittsburgh to 19 points, but that was played in a blizzard. The Browns gave up 35 points to the injury-riddled Saints the week before. Cleveland is 6-0 OVER on the road against teams with winning home records, and the Broncos are 5-0-1 OVER after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Take the Broncos + the OVER.