Cleveland at Cincinnati

The Cleveland Browns have shuffled QBs all season long as health issues at the position have kept the musical chairs under center an ongoing battle. It has resulted in a very mediocre 19.1 points per game. The good news for Cleveland is that they have quietly assembled one of the NFL's best defenses. The Browns defense allows just 4.7 yards per play to a schedule of teams that average 5.4 - one of the best marks in the entire NFL (much better than Kansas City by the way). Cincinnati lost a tough one - after getting a miracle hail-mary TD as time expired they could not finish the job in overtime. The Bengals tend to go the way QB Andy Dalton goes, and his INT count is up to 13 after a pair of horrible games, and it won't get any easier against this Browns defense. Cleveland can get even in the loss column with a win here for the AFC North lead, and Cleveland is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 division games. Under Marvin Lewis, the Bengals are 31-43 ATS after a loss including just 7-16 ATS after a tough divisional loss. Take the points with Cleveland.