img NFL

Cleveland at Baltimore

September 21, 2008
img4:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

We got a glimpse of a rookie QB coming off a good opening performance turn into the pumpkin when Matt Ryan imploded last week after a solid opener. Is this Joe Flacco's turn? I say yes. The Baltimore offense is very limited as it is, and laying points on this team is risky. Last weekend the Baltimore defense looked good but it is still an aging defense that has really shown just one good game. This is a Browns team that has playoff potential and they are going to be an animal with their back against the wall this week after starting a disasterous 0-2. The Ravens lost nine of their last ten games last year, and all of a sudden one big defensive effort vs Cincinnati, and they are reborn? We all saw that Cincinnati offense on display last week again putting up all of 10 points, so Baltimore's week one defensive performance has to be tempered. Cleveland scored 60 points on this defense last year in two games. Back to the Browns' 0-2 start. How bad is it? Well consider that those two losses came against the two teams that right now look to be headed to the Super Bowl. Baltimore is not in that class. The Browns are 20-8 ATS under Romeo Crennel coming off a loss including 13-5 ATS after losing to a division rival. They are also 7-0 ATS since last season off a loss while Baltimore is 4-13 ATS overall over that span.

4 units on Cleveland +3 (-125) (risk 4 to return 4)
Result:
LOSS
1
2
3
4
T
Cleveland Browns
0
10
0
0
10
Baltimore Ravens
0
7
21
0
28
odds odds
 
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