This pick was released to clients on December 29, 2023 at 10:25AM ET.
img NFL

Cleveland at Baltimore

December 30, 2018
img4:25 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Baltimore can clinch the AFC North with a win or a Pittsburgh loss and they'll be playing at the same time.  Cleveland is out of the playoffs, but that doesn't mean it won't have incentive to finish with a winning record a year after going 0-16. The Browns are 9-6 ATS this season and they beat the Ravens 12-9 in overtime in October. The Browns have won three in a row following last week's 26-18 win over Cincinnati when Baker Mayfield threw three touchdown passes to raise his total to 24, which is two behind the rookie record set by Peyton Manning and Russell Wilson. Cleveland outgained the Bengals 493-209 while averaging 5.2 yards per carry with Nick Chubb rushing for 112 yards. The teams have similar statistics on offense with the Ravens gaining 369.1 yards per game and a scoring average of 24.2 points compared to 364.9 and 22.3 for the Browns. The last four meetings have gone UNDER by comfortable margins and the Browns are 3-0-1 UNDER their last four games overall. Baltimore has stayed UNDER its last two games and its 22-10 win over the Chargers on Saturday went UNDER by 10.5 points. Cleveland has covered five of its last six following an ATS loss and the Ravens are 1-4 ATS their last five home games. The points loom large in this matchup, so play the Browns and the UNDER.

1 unit on Cleveland +6 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 41 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Cleveland Browns
7
0
7
10
24
Baltimore Ravens img
10
10
3
3
26
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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