Cincinnati at Tennessee

After a dreadful start and some coaching shifts, Cincinnati has turned things around by winning three of five. They come off a bad game against Jacksonville with trouble defending the play-action pass, but this is a better matchup against a run-oriented Tennessee offense. The Bengals are 9-4 ATS on natural grass, and 12-4-2 ATS after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Tennessee is also #27 in the NFL in passing. After a hot start the Titans have cooled off offensively, scoring 10 and 14 points in losses to Houston and Miami. The last two weeks they squeezed by the Browns (12-9) and Ravens (23-20). Defensively they've been below average at #18 against the pass, #23 in points allowed (24.1 points per game), including giving up 57 points to Houston. Tennessee is 15-33-3 ATS against losing teams, 11-36-4 ATS versus the AFC and 16-34-4 ATS on natural grass. This is a great bounce-back matchup spot for the visitors. Play Cincinnati.