Cincinnati at New England

Cincinnati has failed to cover the spread in just six of their last 22 games yet they are getting a ton of points in this one. This team has talent on both sides of the line, but they face the great Tom Brady in this game. The Bengals are off a bad game at Dallas, further encouraging bettors to take the Patriots. But, memories are short. Two weeks ago the Bengals crushed another AFC East team in the Dolphins, 22-7, with a dominant defensive performance. The Bengals are #11 in the NFL defensively in yards allowed. They held Miami to 189 passing yards and just 62 rushing. Cincinnati also went on the road and beat the Jets, 23-22 earlier this season. The Bengals have an experienced, balanced offense with QB Andy Dalton (five TDs, two picks), RB Jeremy Hill and one of the top wideouts in the league in AJ Green (518 yards). Dalton is second in the NFL in yards passing and is up to a 67.4-percent completion percentage, the eighth best in the league. Cincinnati is better coached than many people think and a strong bounce-back squad at 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games after a loss. The Patriots still have questions on the offensive line, which has played better than last year. Let's remember who Tom and company played last week. Today they will not be facing the Browns and this is a terrific Cincinnati defensive front. The Bengals are 11-5-1 ATS against the AFC and on a 9-2 ATS run on the road. They haven't been this big an underdog in two years, winning 27-10 at the Saints as a +8.5 puppy. Play the Bengals to keep it close.