Cincinnati at New England

It is rare to see an NFL preseason pointspread in this range except for week three, when you see starters getting a lot of time on the field. It certainly makes you look hard at the abundance of points. History shows it is a good idea to take the points when the situation arises. Since 1995 when a team is getting six or more points in an NFLX game, they have delivered the money on 59.1% of the occasions for their backers, covering 122 occurrences, with an overall record of 72-50 ATS. Those numbers get even larger when you look at the AFC. When an AFC team has been afforded the luxury of six or more points, the win rate increases to an astounding 68%! That number rises even further to 71.4% when the line reaches a full seven points or more! I'm going with the Bengals here as this number is simply too high.