Cincinnati at Indianapolis

Through three games the Cincinnati Bengals had that Super Bowl look. They were getting it done on both sides of the ball, outscoring their first three opponents by an 8-33 margin, good for a 3-0 start. They then had a bye and headed for New England where they looked awful, and followed that with another stinker at home that resulted in a 37-37 tie against Carolina. This week the Bengals head to Indianapolis who has experienced just the opposite. The Colts started the season 0-2, but have dominated in their last four games, scoring 138 points in the process. The reality is these teams are pretty even and the Benglas are in need of a win. They will play hard and we get more than a field goal which represents value. The Bengals will turn to old fashion football here to get back on track. I expect them to run Giovanni Bernard a lot. That serves a dual purpose as the Colts rank #27 at allowing 4.61 yards per carry and Bernard is off a big game, so they will go with the hot hand and limit the Colts' hot offense in terms of possession. Just think what this line would have been in week four with the Bengals 3-0 and the Colts 1-2 - it would likely be just the opposite with Cincinnati favored. We now have line value as most remember just what has happened most recently. Take the points on Cincinnati.