Cincinnati at Detroit

Cincinnati has a winning record losing only to the Bears and Packers by three points each time. The defense is #8 in points allowed, #10 against the run, #11 in total yards, while QB Joe Burrow (11 TDs, 6 INTs) has been very good. The Bengals are 10-3 ATS after a defeat, plus 7-3 ATS as a road favorite. The Lions are one of only two winless teams in the NFL for new coach Dan Campbell. Detroit's defense is #24 in points surrendered, #22 against the run, #21 in yards allowed, while the rebuilding offense is #21 in total yards, #24 in points, #30 on third down. The Lions are 20-38 ATS at home after covering the spread in two of the last three games, so back the up-and-coming visitors. Play Cincinnati.