Cincinnati at Cleveland

The Cleveland Browns are a bad offensive team. They scored 10 against Miami and 6 against Baltimore. They did put up 31 last week vs. Minnesota but do we really expect Brian Hoyer to keep having that kind of success? What the Browns do have is a good defense, one that ranks sixth in the NFL in fewest yards allowed. Cincinnati is equally good on the defensive end, ranked 11th in the league. I expect this game to be a divisional war, and both teams are capable of getting stops when they need them the most, as seen last week. The Bengals have played seven straight UNDERs vs. AFC opponents. They have also gone nine of their last 11 following a win to the UNDER. Cleveland's lack of firepower, and developing defense, has led to a 21-9-1 mark to the UNDER in their last 31 overall. And, 11 of their last 14 at home have stayed UNDER the total. In the Marvin Lewis era, the Bengals are 26-13 UNDER in non-conference games and 24-12 UNDER after allowing 30+ points last game. And since last season, Cincinnati is 9-1 UNDER following an ATS win. Play this one UNDER.