This will be the third week of the last four that we have been on Cleveland. Why do we continue to back this apparently ugly dog? They continue to be underrated and they have been one of the steadiest teams all season long in the topsy-turvy NFL. Cinncinati is off of a big win, but in '06 they have not looked like last year's team when they seemed to sneak up on everyone. Cinncinati got off to a big start at 3-0. But, they are just 2-5 since then, covering the spread in just one of those games. Cleveland on the other hand started 0-2, and has been 3-4 since then, covering 5 of 7. The Browns seem to play the same kind of game every single week, winning some games despite a schedule that has been brutal. They have played 8 of 10 games vs. teams that are .500 or higher. It is one of a very few NFL teams with which you know what your getting every single week. The last 7 weeks it's the 2-5 Bengals vs the 3-4 Browns, playing at the dog pound versus the 3-4 team (the Browns), getting points. The line value here is decidedly with the Browns. They have beaten the line by 3.5 ppg in their last eight games, while the Bengals have lost to the line by 8+ ppg in their 6 non-covers over the past 7 weeks. The public still believes in the Bengals and Ocho Cinco, as over 80% has claimed the Bengals, but we see it much differently. Don't let the hype from last week's big Cincinnati win put you on the wrong side of this game. Cleveland is the play.