Cincinnati at Cleveland

Cincinnati likes to run the football, which chews up yards and the clock, and they face the second-worst run defense in the NFL. The Bengals' defense is dominant, tops in the NFL in points allowed (17.5 points per game). Cincy is on a 4-1 run UNDER the total allowing 10, 10, 10 and 7 points in those UNDERs. They come off a 31-7 rout of the Rams and the UNDER is 20-6-1 when following a win of more than 14 points, plus 33-16-2 UNDER after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. They face a Cleveland offense that is down to its third-string QB in Austin Davis. He looked good in limited action Monday night, but he's still appeared in only 11 NFL games with 13 TDs, nine picks and five fumbles. This Cleveland offense won't do anything against this defense and the Bengals rolled 31-10 in the first meeting. Cleveland is 33-15-3 UNDER the total in December and when these teams meet the UNDER is 4-1. Take this one to finish UNDER.