Cincinnati at Buffalo

Cincinnati's off a win and winning underdogs in this spread range do very well in the preseason against the spread. The Bengals qualify for a system I track that features underdogs in certain preseason situations that is 41-11 ATS including an 7-1 last year. It's unclear if Carson Palmer will see action here but he won't be in long if he does. But, the Bengals defense showed me something last week holding the Skins to just 3 points. See, this defense heard all last season (and offseason) that while the Bengals have a great offense, it's their defense that is mediocre. They are out to prove something right now I believe. More points will be scored here but no reason the Bengals can't win this outright against the Bills who apparently still don't have a quarterback on the depth chart who can throw more TDs than interceptions.