This pick was released to clients on September 15, 2023 at 11:17AM ET.
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Chicago at Tampa Bay

September 17, 2023
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Chicago QB Justin Fields admitted he played too conservatively in his team's 38-20 loss to Green Bay and plans to take more shots down the field against a decent Tampa Bay defense. The Buccaneers capitalized on two lost fumbles and beat Minnesota 20-17, but they still allowed 344 passing yards by Kirk Cousins and the Buccs were outgained 369-242. Baker Mayfield went 21-for-34 on pass attempts for 173 yards and two touchdowns after recovering from a rough start. The Bears still remember the 38-3 beating they took at Tampa Bay in 2021 and the Buccaneers are 2-10-1 ATS after totaling fewer than 90 yards rushing their previous game. Also, Tampa Bay is 3-13-1 ATS overall, 3-8-1 ATS against NFC teams and 2-9-1 ATS overall as a favorite dating to last season. Chicago has gone UNDER six straight in Week 2 and the Buccaneers have stayed UNDER 13 of their past 19 games overall and 19 of 26 versus the NFC. The Buccaneers have gone UNDER their past four September games. Take the Bears as a Max Play and the UNDER as a Max Play.

2 units on Chicago +2.5 (-105) (risk 2 to return 3.9)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 41.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Chicago Bears
7
3
0
7
17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers img
3
10
7
7
27
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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